Sunday, February 21, 2016

Why Todd Gurley is (Currently) Your Rookie of the Year

(Written on 11/1/15)
When the St. Louis Rams sent shockwaves across the NFL by drafting Georgia tailback Todd Gurley with the 10th overall pick in the NFL Draft this past April, just a few months removed from a torn ACL, very few could have foreseen the 21 year old’s early success. “I definitely was excited when they took me at No. 10,” Gurley told the LA Times. “I was kind of shocked.”
Continuing that them of being shocked, let me break down Gurley’s stats through four games. The obvious stat of 442 yards is mind boggling considering that Gurley has toted the rock only 74 times for a 6 yard average (first amongst all rookies), second in the NFL behind Ryan Matthews despite carrying the ball 18 more times. He is also the first rookie since 2005 to run for at least 125 yards in each of first three starts (Tampa Bay’sCadillac Williams last accomplished the feat). Pro Football Focus also listed a multitude of impressive numbers: against the Packers and Cardinals, between 43 and 48 percent of Gurley’s yards came after contact, while a whopping 86.7 percent were churned out against the Browns. PFF also highlights Gurley’s 11 broken tackles against the Browns on only 19 carries; he is fourth among all running backs in broken tackles.
He is also averaging 3.5 yards after first contact, third in the NFL. When running to the right, where the Rams have rookies starting at right guard and right tackle, Gurley has carried the ball 10 times for 95 yards, another impressive stat coupled with the fact that when the Rams are down by 9-16 points, he has carried the ball 23 times for 133 yards (5.8 avg), thus signaling the trust St. Louis has in the rookie. Gurley is also nearly averaging a first down on 1st and 6+, running for 339 yards on 47 carries (7.2 yards). The numbers Oakland Raiders’ receiver Amari Cooper have posted are equally impressive as his impact cannot be overlooked. Considering Gurley’s impact on a team with an average passing and a young, unproven offensive line, he deserves the top vote.

Mid-season All-Pro Team

(Written on 11/5/15)

Now that the NFL is at the half-way point, let’s take a look at the league’s top performers thus far.

Offense-Quarterback: Tom Brady (New England Patriots)

Brady is having a career year, one that rivals that of his 2007 season, ranking first in touchdowns (20), rating (115.8), and yards per game (344), second in yards (2,410), sixth in completion percentage (68.9) all while throwing only one interception, a mind-boggling statistic; he has also completed more than 74 percent of his passes three times and thrown for more than 3 TDs four times this season. In three games against AFC East opponents, Brady has completed 64.9 percent of his passes for 1,177 yards and nine touchdowns, without throwing an interception, for an astounding average of 392 yards and three touchdowns per game. Brady is the head of an offense that is sixth in total offense and second in points, all while maintaining their 7-0 record.

Running back: Devonta Freeman (Atlanta Falcons)

Freeman has come from possibly being replaced by second rounder Tevin Coleman this past May to potential MVP. His 709 rushing yards and whopping nine touchdowns ranks first in the league, while carrying the ball a league high 152 times; his 4.7 yards per carry is third among all running backs with 100+ carries. Despite leading the league in carries, Freeman has only fumbled once this season while also ranking first with 45 runs that have gone for first downs, nine more than the next back. Freeman also has Pro Football Focus‘ third highest overall grade and sixth highest run grade despite the fact he leads the league run snaps by 18. He has also had a major impact in the passing game having caught 40 passes for 353 yards and a touchdown, first and second among all running backs respectively; he has the sixth highest receiving grade among all running backs according to PFF.

Doug Martin (Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

Just a few months ago it’s hard to imagine anyone, truthfully, considering Martin an All-Pro after two disastrous, injury-riddled seasons following his stellar 2012 season that saw him rush for 1,454 yards and 11 touchdowns on 319 carries (4.6 avg.) while hauling in 49 passes for 472 yards and a touchdown in all 16 games. Between 2013-2014, Martin played in 17 total games and rushed for 950 yards and three touchdowns on 261 carries (3.6 avg.)doug martin while catching 25 passes for 44 yards, thus playing as a shell of his former self. Martin has resurrected his career as his 132 carries for 612 yards rank sixth and fourth respectively in the NFL. His 4.6 average yards per carry ranks fifth among all running backs with 100+ carries; he ranks second in 20+ yard runs with seven and 11th with 24 rushes that have gone for first downs. PFF has also showcased his impact as his 92.3 overall grade and 89.8 run grade ranks second among all running backs in both categories, all while being on the field for the seventh most run snaps in the league. Martin has also been phenomenal in the passing game with 15 catches for 136 yards and a touchdown and the fourth highest pass block grade among all running backs. Martin has done it all behind a porous offensive line featuring two centers that have received poor and average grades, a guard who has received an average grade, and three tackles that have received two poor grades and an average grade all via PFF.

Fullback: Patrick DiMarco (Atlanta Falcons)

Fullbacks have become something of a dying breed but DiMarco’s impact cannot be overlooked. While he has been the lead blocker for the NFL’s top rusher, DiMarco’s 88.3 overall PFF grade is tops among all fullbacks and is 8.2 points higher than the next. Freeman owes a majority of his success to DiMarco as he has posted a remarkable 91.8 run blocking grade in 116 run snaps, second in the league by one snap. The most impressive aspect? He is a whopping 13.4 points higher than the NEXT fullback; he is also tied for seventh in the running game and has the fourth highest receiving grade.

Wide Receiver: Julio Jones (Atlanta Falcons)

Jones has been nothing short of unstoppable this year. After a stellar 2014 campaign that saw him catch 104 passes for 1,593 yards and six touchdowns, Jones has reeled in 70 passes for 892 yards through eight games, tops in the NFL; he has already matched last season’s touchdown total, good for t-second in the NFL. Jones has been targeted 103 times, second in the NFL, catching 68% of all targets. Jones has also used his explosiveness to put up numbers, ranking fourth in the NFL with 12 catches of 20+ yards, sixth in yards after the catch with 277, and second in receptions that have gone for first downs with 45. PFF has given him the highest overall grade and receiving grade among all receivers while being on the field for the seventh most pass snaps.

DeAndre Hopkins (Houston Texans)

Jones and Hopkins have been 1a and 1b all season long as Hopkins ranks third behind Jones in receptions (66) and yards (870). Hopkins is also t-second in touchdowns with six, t-fifth with 10 catches for 20+ yards, and first with 54 receptions that have gone for first downs. His 92.2 overall grade via PFF ranks fourth among all receivers while his 91.1 receiving grade ranks third while being on the field for a whopping 401 pass snaps, 35 more than the next. While Hopkins has been MVP caliber, he has done so with unbelievably inconsistent and often-times, below average quarterback play, making his numbers that much more impressive.

Tight End: Rob Gronkowski (New England Patriots)

When healthy, Gronk is undoubtedly the best tight end in the game and he has proven that thus far. Although he ranks 12th in the NFL in receptions and yards, he is first among all tight ends and is t-first among all players with seven touchdowns. His 273 yards after the catch are seventh in the league and ranks only behind Travis Kelce among all tight ends; he comes in at second in receptions of 20+ yards and ninth in receptions that have gone for first downs, tied with Cleveland’s Gary Barnidge among all tight ends. Not surprisingly, Gronk’s 97.4 overall grade Pats, Gronk strike quickly-media-1ranks first among all tight ends PFF has graded, 7.1 points more than the next tight end; his 97.9 receiving grade is also first among all tight ends. While Barnidge likely deserves this spot due to his numbers that resemble Gronk’s with nowhere near the same quarterback play, Gronk gets the nod due to his blocking ability. He’s been on the field for 320 pass snaps, third most among all tight ends via PFF, with an 87.6 pass blocking grade, also third among all tight ends. He has been a factor in the run game as well, ranking first among all tight ends with an 82.4 run blocking grade.

Tackle: Tyron Smith (Dallas Cowboys)

Smith has been an elite left tackle for the last two years and the anchor of a dominant Cowboys offensive line that ranks 10th in the NFL in rushing yards despite five different running backs carrying the ball at least five times. In seven games, Smith has only been called for four penalties; only one was a holding call. He has also allowed an exceptionally low three sacks which would leave one to believe how many are truly his fault with Brandon Weeden and Matt Cassel playing quarterback. His 94.8 overall PFF grade ranks first among all offensive tackles and is second behind Joe Thomas in pass blocking by a lowly .5 points. He has posted an astonishing 99.4 run blocking grade as well as Dallas is 10th best when running off the left tackle according to Pro Football Outsiders.

Joe Thomas (Cleveland Browns)

Thomas is arguably the best left tackle since 2007 and he shows no signs of slowing down. He is second behind Smith in PFF’s overall grade, but leads all tackles with a 93.7 pass blocking grade and is third in run blocking while being on the field for the fifth most pass snaps and 11th most run snaps respectively. He has committed a minuscule five penalties, only one of which was a holding. Thomas has only surrendered a mind-blowing half sack which, if he maintained that average, would be one sack allowed all season, two fewer than his all time low.  Thomas’ durability is also impressive as he has started 136 straight games.

Guards: Marshal Yanda (Baltimore Ravens)

Yanda has long been a staple of the Ravens’ success up front and it is no different this year. He is PFF’s top guard with a 93.8 overall grade and has yet to commit a single penalty while only allowing half a sack. He has been on the field for 364 pass snaps, fourth in the league, recording the seventh pass blocking grade. In the run game, his 214 run snaps are sixth most among all guards while recording a league high 94.6 run grade. The Ravens rank fifth when running between their guards according to PFO.

Zack Martin (Dallas Cowboys)

The Cowboys offensive line is still intact with Martin anchoring the interior. Although he has allowed the same amount of sacks committed the same amount of penalties through seven games as he did all of last season, it’s easy to attribute that to the three different quarterbacks that have started for Dallas this season. Nevertheless, Martin is PFF’s second highest rated guard with the highest pass blocking grade in the league while holding the league’s third highest run blocking grade.

Center: Ryan Kalil (Carolina Panthers)

The man in the middle of Carolina’s offensive line has been stellar this year. He is PFF’s highest rated center with the highest run blocking grade, each ahead of the next guy by at least 4 points. His impact in the passing game has been felt too as he ranks seventh in pass protection. Although he missed Monday night’s game against the Colts, Kalil has started six games this year and committed only one penalty and allowed only a single sack.

Defense-Defensive End: J.J. Watt (Houston Texans)

The Watt narrative has yet to show any signs at all of slowing down. Watt’s 8.5 sacks are tied for a league high while his 40 tackles are second amongst all defensive ends. The kicker? Watt is a 3-4 end who is facing more double teams than ever before; he is also tied for ninth in the league in passes defended. While he is technically a defensive end, he would be an interior defender in a true 4-3 and is thus, listed as an interior defender by PFF which has granted him the highest grade among all interior defenders. He has been on the field for a league high 317 pass snaps, and of course possesses PFF’s highest pass rush grade; Watt has also been on the field for a league high 221 run snaps while maintaining the league’s fourth highest grade against the run.

Cameron Jordan (New Orleans Saints)

A bit of a surprise this season, Jordan’s six sacks are fourth in the NFL; he has also defended four passes and forced a fumble along the way. Jordan is PFF’s top edge defender with a 94.8 overall grade coupled with his top pass rush grade while being on the field for the more pass snaps than any other edge defender. He has been stout against the run as well, ranking sixth in run defense while t-fifth for most run snaps.

Defensive Tackle: Kawann Short (Carolina Panthers)

PFT Live: Kawann Short, Eagles talk with Geoff Mosher-media-1Short has been an anchor and a force for the Panthers this season, ranking second in sacks by defensive tackles with five (t-sixth in the NFL). His play making ability has been on display this year with his 27 tackles, four passes defended, and a forced fumble. Short is PFF’s third highest rated interior defender with the fifth highest rated pass rush grade while being on the field for the 11th most pass snaps; his impact against the run has been felt too, ranking 10th in run defense.

Muhammad Wilkerson (New York Jets)

Wilkerson has been a force along the Jets’ line this year, registering five sacks (t-sixth in the NFL), racking up 31 tackles, a forced fumble, and defending four passes. He is PFF’s seventh rated interior defender, has been stout against the run (eighth in the league), and thirteenth in pass rush while being on the field for the third most pass snaps.

Linebackers: Thomas Davis (Carolina Panthers)

While fellow linebacker Luke Kuechly is more valuable to the Panthers via PFF and talent wise, it’s hard to ignore his teammates’ numbers. Davis is 12th in the league with 59 total tackles. He’s been all over the field, registering two sacks, two interceptions, and a forced fumble while defending three passes. His impact in coverage has also been felt as he ranks third among all linebackers in that category via PFF.

Luke Kuechly (Carolina Panthers)

Kuechly has only played in four games this season due to injury but he has made a stellar 46 stops, a per-game average that would give him 184 tackles in 16 games; Kuechly has also recorded an interception and a sack. Furthermore, he has an astounding 99 overall grade by PFF, leading all linebackers while his 94.7 grade against the run and 95.7 grade in coverage are also tops among all linebackers.

Telvin Smith (Jacksonville Jaguars)

Telvin Smith’s pick six nets AFC defensive player of week honors-media-1Despite their struggles, the Jaguars have play makers on both sides of the ball and Smith has been one all season. His 68 tackles rank fifth in the NFL while his play making ability is highlighted by his impressive stat line: a half sack, four passes defended, an interception that went 26 yards for a touchdown, and seven stuffs (when an offensive team attempts a run up the middle that gets completely denied by the defense at or behind the line of scrimmage) for 19 yards.

Cornerbacks: Josh Norman (Carolina Panthers)

Another star of this dominant Panthers defense is Norman who is having a fantastic season. He is tied for second in passes defended (12) and interceptions (four) and leads the league in defensive touchdowns with two; Norman has also forced and recovered a fumble and has done a brilliant job of keeping everything in front of him with only 28 tackles. He is also PFF’s top corner with a 96.1 overall grade and 95.6 cover grade, allowing just 45.9 percent of 37 passes thrown his way to be caught while quarterbacks have a 24.1 passer rating when throwing his way.

Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (New York Giants)

In his eighth season, Rodgers-Cromartie is having a career year in New York. He is t-third in the NFL in interceptions, one of which went for a touchdown, and t-eighth in passes defended while forcing two fumbles and returning one for a touchdown. He is PFF’s sixth overall rated corner, seventh in coverage, and eighth against the run.

Safeties: Charles Woodson (Oakland Raiders)

The Michigan product will surely be a first ballot Hall of Famer when he walks away, but the 39-year-old seems to be saving his best for last. He leads the league in interceptions with five, two of which came against fellow legend Peyton Manning. He has defended the seventh most passes and recorded 33 tackles; Woodson is PFF’s highest rated safety in coverage while being on the field for the fourth most pass snaps.

Reshad Jones (Miami Dolphins)

This rising star has shown improvement since 2013, and has returned both of his interceptions this season for touchdowns. Jones has had countless opportunities to make tackles due to the Dolphins porous run defense (t-21st), making the most of it with a whopping 67 tackles this season all without missing a single one according to PFF. He is also their third highest graded safety this season, 10th in pass coverage (he has only been targeted 10 times this season), and first against the run.

*Minnesota Vikings’ Harrison Smith was a close second

Special Teams-Kicker: Stephen Gostkowski (New England Patriots)

Gostkowski has been absolute nails this season going 17-17 on field kicks including an amazing 6-6 from 40-49 yards out and 3-3 from 50+ including a 57 yarder this season, second longest this season. Even more incredible, Gostkowski is 28-28 on extra points this season, the second most made and attempted this season.

Punter: Johnny Hekker (St. Louis Rams)

His 48.8 yards per punt is sixth in the NFL despite only punting the ball 39 times while his net punting average of 43.7 ranks third. Hekker has yet to have a punt blocked and has dropped 16 punts inside the 20 (second in the league); only two punts have been touch backs (t-third fewest in the league) and he has forced 10 fair catches, t-fifth most in the league.

Returner: Tyler Lockett (Seattle Seahawks)

The Seahawks got exactly what they were looking for in Lockett, a return man who can shift the field. His 356 kick return yards are the sixth most in the NFL while his 105 yard return, which went for a touchdown, is the second longest this season; his 25.4 yard per return is seventh most amongst those with double-digit returns. He has also returned 24 punts for 195 yards, ninth in the NFL, and one for a touchdown.

The State of the Rams Going Forward



(Written on 11/18/15)

A season that was once full of promise appears to be no more


The St. Louis Rams had  a tumultuous off-season, trading franchise quarterback Sam Bradford to the Eagles for fellow quarterback Nick Foles, spending the 10th overall pick on a running back just a few months removed from a torn ACL that was projected to keep him sidelined well into the 2015 season, and acquiring Nick Fairley, the oft-criticized defensive tackle who spent four seasons in Detroit. While the latter two have paid dividends for the Rams, the former has not. Just nine games into his first season as a Ram, head coach Jeff Fisher has pulled the plug on Foles for Case Keenum.
As is the norm in athletics following a monumental trade, the Eagles have gotten the better end of the deal after comparing the two. Via Pro Football Focus, Foles is 32nd in total passing grade, 28th in PFF Passer Rating, 27th in Accuracy Percentage, 39th in Deep Accuracy Percentage, and 21st in Accuracy Under Pressure Percentage. Bradford has bested Foles in all five categories, sitting at 19th, 23rd, 7th, 18th, and 3rd respectively. Foles’ biggest detractors have noted his inconsistency, and as PFF pointed out, “overall, he has played four games with a +4.0 grade or better in his career, but another six with grades worse than -4.0. Three of those games have come this year, including the one that resulted in his benching against the Bears.” Foles recorded only his second 200 yard game of the season last week against the Bears, his first since Week 1 and has only thrown for multiple touchdowns game once this season, tossing three against the Cardinals in Week 4. The Rams are also dead last in passing yards per game with 179.
Case Keenum’s career -10.6 grade is not quite reassuring, although his 2013 season in Houston provided exciting moments for the Texans; his 1,760 yards, nine touchdowns, and 78.2 through eight games in 2013 are all better than Foles’ numbers through nine games this year. Perhaps the most disastrous aspect of Foles’ benching is his contract. Just before the start of the season, St. Louis extended his contract to a 3-year, $24.5 million deal; the Rams are now paying him $6 million this year as opposed to the $1.5 million they would have originally paid him. While things get better Foles, the opposite is true for the Rams as his $1.75 million salary and $6 million roster bonus for next season are already guaranteed meaning if the Rams decide to cut Foles after the season, they will still owe him $7.75 million next year. While the writing for Foles’ Rams career seems to be on the wall, the Rams still receive Philadelphia’s second round pick next year and will actually save $5 million in cap space by cutting him.

Lest we forget, the Rams are still 4-5 and tied for second in the NFC West


With a healthy Gurley and a defense that finds a way to be more consistent (373 yards surrendered to the Redskins and 397 to the Bears), Keenum only has to be average for the Rams to make a playoff push. If Foles had been at least average, there’s no reason the Rams shouldn’t be 7-2: Gurley didn’t start against Pittsburgh which certainly had an affect on their game plan as Foles was below 200 yards with an interception, he was a mere 18-33 with no touchdowns against the Vikings, and threw a whopping four interceptions against the Packers. The Rams have done an adequate job getting Tavon Austin involved in the offense as he and Stedman Bailey (once he returns from injury) provide necessary deep threats while Kenny Britt and Wes Welker are viable third down options. Keenum shouldn’t be asked to do anymore than Foles was, only to be more efficient and take shots down the field all while protecting the ball. Teams will continue to game plan around Gurley, but that doesn’t seem to matter as he is still playing at an extremely high pace. This week provides a very winnable match up against the struggling Ravens, and if Keenum can produce better numbers than Foles, a rather simple task, there is no reason St. Louis can’t win at least eight games and have a shot at the playoffs.

Changes Looming in St. Louis

(Written 12/3/15)

Following another embarrassing and disappointing loss, the St. Louis Rams sit at a pedestrian 4-7. Despite being down only 7-0 at the end of the first quarter, the Rams failed to gain any momentum in hopes of a comeback before succumbing to the Cincinnati Bengals, 31-7. Starting in place of Case Keenum, who is still in concussion protocol and was limited in practice today, quarterback Nick Foles posted an abysmal stat line: 30-46 for 228 yards and three interceptions one of which was returned 24 yards for a touchdown; rookie Sean Mannion eventually got his first reps of the season. When discussing their chances of making the playoffs, head coach Jeff Fisher stated that “mathematically, we’re not eliminated.”
Speaking of Fisher, the Rams are headed for their fourth straight losing season with Fisher at the helm. They must win their last five games to not only make the playoffs, but avoid that daunting fourth losing season; this is no easy task as the Rams face the 9-2 Cardinals, and the surging Buccaneers, 49ers, Seahawks, and Lions. When asked about his job security, Fisher had this to say: “I’ve been doing this for probably short of 20 years, and I’ve never gone into a game or a into a season worried about my job security. That would be unfair to the organization and unfair to the players. So I’m not worried about that.” Now to Fisher’s credit, they played a tough and talented Vikings team and a Ravens team that has lost seven games by an average of only 4.6 points on last second field goals and is 3-0 in a tough division. Regardless, he has six winning seasons to his credit in 19 years as a head coach (his first year in Houston in 1994 he served as an interim). What’s more disappointing is the fact the Rams were 4-3 a month ago and looked like a playoff team despite the porous offensive play. Should the Rams finish with a losing record, it only makes sense to fire Fisher: Fisher will enter his fifth and final year of his contract next season and it is extremely rare for an organization to bring back their coach for a fifth year after four losing seasons. However, Fisher will be due $7 million next year and it is unlikely that owner Stan Kroenke will eat that money by firing him. The Rams are 31st in total offense and last in passing offense; if the season ended today, their 180.9 yards per game would be the fourth lowest in franchise history.
While Kroenke has that decision to make going forward, he announced this morning that he has proposed making a second team his full partner in hopes of getting an NFL franchise to LA. Due to his long history with San Diego Chargers owner Dean Spanos, it seems the Chargers will be his partner in this deal as those in Kroenke’s camp have reported lobbying for a deal involving the Chargers and Rams playing at a $1.86 billion stadium in Inglewood. Kroenke has hurdles to jump through in order to accomplish this: Spanos and Raiders owner Mark Davis are currently committed to building a $1.75 billion in Carson; the NFL requires teams seeking relocation to acquire three-fourths of the league’s 32 owners and both parties are believed to have the nine votes needed to block a team from relocating. Should Spanos ditch Davis for the Rams’ plan, Davis and the Raiders have the power to sue Spanos and the Chargers: under California law, there is a possibility of legal attachment between Spanos and Davis, “preventing him and the team from cutting Davis and the Raiders loose without incurring various potential liabilities” as reported by ProFootballTalk. The wildcard here is St. Louis, who has committed $150 million in addition to Missouri’s $240 million to the building of a new stadium that, if built, has secured National Car Rental as a sponsor to put its name on the stadium to the tune of $158 million over 20 years. There is cause for concern in St. Louis, however. According to a debt repayment schedule submitted by the stadium task force, lead by Governor Jay Nixon, the city will be repaying more money ($215 million) and for much longer (through 2051) than previously reported on top of the $6 million a year that is still being paid to the Edward Jones Dome. The news of Kroenke’s proposition to Spanos  come on the same day he met with Nixon as Kroenke has avoided meeting with supporters of the downtown St. Louis stadium. Kroenke was, recently, also encouraged by NFL commissioner Roger Goodell to begin communicating with Nixon and Dave Peacock, the former Anheuser-Busch executive and co-chairman of Nixon’s stadium task force.
The NFL and members of the league’s influential Committee on Los Angeles Opportunities, pushing for a vote on which team or teams could move, will hold meetings in January to determine who will move.

At 4-8, it's time for the Rams to Look to the Future



(Written on 12/7/15)
In what comes as to surprise to almost anyone, the St Louis Rams dropped their fifth straight game in uninspiring fashion, losing 27-3 to the Arizona Cardinals. The offense sputtered again as Nick Foles posted another miserable stat line: 15-35 (43 percent) for 146 and an interception, averaging 4.2 yards an attempt. The offensive line failed to open any holes for Todd Gurley as he toted the rock nine times for 41 yards, 34 of which came on one run and was not targeted in the passing game. 35 attempts with a quarterback who fails to generate any momentum against nine rushes with a young, talented running back is especially head scratching considering his outing last time these two teams met. Tight end Jared Cook led the team with nine targets (odd considering his consistent ability to drop passes including one on a crucial third down), but Tavon Austin and Bradley Marquez both had three, another odd fact due to the quality of players.
Austin only had one catch for 24 yards and two carries for 14 yards which is upsetting as he will need to be more involved if the offense wishes to score points. The offense only managed nine first downs and committed seven penalties for 104 yards. The defense’s performance was was equally unimpressive and even more uncharacteristic as they allowed 524 yards as Carson Palmer shredded the Rams secondary for 356 yards and two touchdowns while Arizona gained 175 yards on the ground, a disappointing performance by the the Rams often reliable front seven. The defense was bitten by the injury bug as corner Trumaine Johnson and defensive end Robert Quinn were inactive and fellow corner Janoris Jenkins left the game with a concussion and is unlikely to play next week. The absence of linebacker Alec Ogletree and kicker Greg Zurlein are being felt as the Rams have been outscored 58-10 in their last two games.
Sitting at 4-8, the St. Louis Rams have virtually no shot of making the playoffs especially with the Seahawks and 49ers are on the rise and playing at a much higher level. Following the game, Fisher told the St. Louis Post-Dispatch that he’s run out of answers as he looks to complete his 14th losing season in 20 years as a head coach and likely signaling his last season at the helm of the Rams should they finish under .500, Fisher will be one of four coaches since 1941 with at least five straight losing season with one team according to the Elias Sports Bureau. The Rams rank 31st in attendance this year and media members said the Edward Jones Dome was only half-full (if that) as support is dwindling.
It is easy to sit here and point out the negatives surrounding the Rams on a weekly basis, but the narrative gets old, and unless someone can point to the one positive factor surrounding the nucleus of this team (other than the possible relocation), it will continue until they can win and generate some momentum. Many remember my article in October where I was essentially calling Gurley the best thing since sliced bread and almost a shoo-in for Rookie of the Year, but that ship has sailed (Amari Cooper is also playing at another level, while Seahawks running back Thomas Rawls and Tennessee Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota are making strong cases of their own) and I’m glad that I included the word “currently” in the title of that article.
With reports surfacing of interest in quarterbacks  Johnny Manziel and Colin Kaepernick, I’m beginning to wonder how invested owner Stan Kroenke is in building a competitive team. They have a talented, young defense, potential All-Pro running back, and a young offensive line with a bright future but the thought of Manziel or Kaepernick as the Rams’ quarterback going forward is frustrating. Manziel has shown flashes of what he can do on the field, but they have been just that: flashes, not solid evidence of a franchise quarterback. His off the field antics are well documented and it might be time to face the reality that he’s not going to change. While Manziel would likely provide a spark to the offense and sell tickets, he’s best suited in a zone-read scheme that allows him to keep the ball and provides him with more opportunities to make plays outside the pocket. The only issue is the fact that Gurley is not a zone-read running back, and at this point, it’s best to build the offense around him. The same can be said for Kaepernick’s fit in an offense, athough he has proven to be a better passer within the pocket and a better decision maker. I understand Kaepernick was the Niners quarterback when they made a Super Bowl appearance in 2013, but many forget the offensive weapons around him and a defense that was one of the NFL’s best in almost every category; six members of the defense were All-Pro selections in the 2012-2013 season. Kaepernick was especially awful this season as he under and over threw and one-hopped many receivers this season; according to STATS LLC., 47 of his 100 incompletions were the result of a poor throw. He has thrown only six touchdowns against five interceptions.
Should Kroenke retain Fisher, then it’s safe to say he’s given up. In his only start, Keenum was unimpressive and didn’t show any signs of progressing. Even though he returns from his concussion there’s no guaranteeing he will remain healthy and should his next two starts be dismal, I believe Sean Mannion deserves a chance. If Keenum doesn’t generate any spark or momentum, it’s highly unlikely, barring defensive scoring coupled with early-season Gurley performances, the Rams will score enough points to win games against two surging offenses in Detroit and Tampa Bay. Should they reach 4-10, I say start Mannion and give him a chance to show what he can do, especially against the 49ers’ and Seahawks’ defenses. They spent a third round pick on him and there’s no reason he doesn’t deserve a chance should the Rams be sitting at 4-10 with a chance to earn a top five pick on a talented receiver they are in dire need of. Regardless, it’s time to start looking to the future and the Rams need to exhaust all options to win games, and with Mannion being a project he deserves a shot. If all else fails, the Rams will adjust their draft plan accordingly.

Players Rams Should Keep their Eyes on this Off-season

(Written 12/14/15)

Coming off a tremendous victory over the Detroit Lions, the St. Louis Rams are sitting at 5-8 with a highly unlikely chance of earning a top five pick in the 2016 NFL Draft. There is also no guarantee they will remain in the top 10 with a chance to beat the Buccaneers this Thursday and the 49ers in Week 17 (Seattle is playing on another level right now, so their chances of beating them in Week 16 seem rather bleak). Regardless, here are five players fans should pay close attention to this college football postseason and beyond:
Carson Wentz, QB (North Dakota State): Wentz is a high riser, and rightfully so. After siting behind Brock Jensen in 2013, Wentz started all 16 games in 2014 as he lead the Bison to their fourth straight FCS National Championship throwing for 3,111 yards (school record) and 25 touchdowns against 10 interceptions; he also completed 63.7 percent of his passes (his 228 completions and 358 attempts were both school records) and added another 642 yards (NDSU’s second leading rusher) and six touchdowns on the ground. He started 2015 on fire, completing the same percent of his passes for 1,454 yards and 16 touchdowns with a mere two interceptions before suffering a wrist injury on October 17 that has kept him sidelined. With NDSU facing Richmond in the semifinals this Friday, there is a chance Wentz could return for the National Championship. At 6’5, 241 pounds, Wentz possess serious size and arm strength with the ability make throws to any part of the field. 
Pros:
  • Despite playing in only six games, Wentz’s accuracy and touch were on display
  • Ability to throw to a spot
  • Very sound mechanically as he possess strong hips and core that allow him to throw the ball with such power and velocity
  • Doesn’t over stride, finishes over the top, and has an over-the-top release that allows very few passes to be batted down by defensive linemen
  • Ball explodes out of his hand
  • Stands tall in the pocket with slight bend in knees
  • Poise and presence in the pocket; senses pressure well and shows ease when moving around within the pocket
  • Ability to extend plays and retain good mechanics when throwing on the run
  • Excellent decision making; very rarely takes sacks
  • Unique combination of speed, athleticism, and strength for his size
  • Sells fakes well
Cons:
  • Often stands flat footed in the pocket, disallowing him to engage lower half and be ready to hit an open receiver at a given moment
  • Drops look lackadaisical; doesn’t set up very quickly
  • I would like to see him look off defenders more often
  • Consistency in mechanics and selling fakes
Wentz is a first round pick and ultimately could end up in the top 10 with a strong Senior Bowl performance. The Rams’ quarterback issues have been well documented this season as they are in dire need of a franchise quarterback that Wentz could become. With the tendency of quarterbacks to fall in the draft (see: Brady Quinn, Geno Smith, Aaron Rodgers), the Rams should be in a position to take Wentz no matter what pick they are but have two second round picks that could be used to move up in the first round.
Will Redmond, CB (Mississippi State): As I just mentioned, the Rams possess two second round picks which hold great trade value. There is, however, no guarantee they will trade up or down in the draft. Although Trumaine Johnson and Janoris Jenkins are free agents, the Rams have $35.7 million in cap space and it’s highly unlikely St. Louis will give defensive tackles Nick Fairley ($4.75 million in ’15), Williams Hayes (30, $4.48 million), and Eugene Sims ($2.39 million) all pay raises. Linebacker Mark Barron is due for a raise ($2.36 million), safety Rodney McLeod ($2.35 million), Johnson ($1.7 million) and Jenkins ($1.58 million) as those on defense who should see their 2015 salary double next season. Regardless, the Rams are rather thin at talent behind Jenkins and Johnson as Lamarcus Joyner and Marcus Roberson are more of nickle players than they are corners Enter Redmon, the 6’0, 186 pound corner who lead the Bulldogs in interceptions in 2014 with three.

Pros:
  • Tremendous straight-line speed
  • Great coverage skills and anticipation
  • Can run with quick receivers and doesn’t get out-muscled by bigger, more physical receivers
  • Tracks the ball well with solid hand-eye coordination
  • Mirrors receivers well and doesn’t allow himself to get beat over the top
  • Physical and aggressive but disciplined on double moves, play-action
  • Swift hips and rotates them quickly, allowing him to take better angles on ball carriers and get his body in position to play the ball in coverage
  • High football IQ, recognizes assignments in Zone
  • Explosive in jams
  • Not afraid to take on blockers
  • High motor; plays at the same speed all four quarters
  • Fearless
Cons:
  • Needs to vastly improve his tackling ability; puts head down and can’t see what he’s tackling, significantly improving his chance of injury
  • Doesn’t shed blocks well; tries to run around them rather than fight through them
  • Ankle bitter; doesn’t wrap up and will struggle against NFL backs with a combination of power and speed
  • Size and range aren’t desirable
  • Inconsistent when taking necessary angles to bring down ball carriers
  • Looks lost in space from time to time
Redmond is a great athlete and has potential to be a ball-hawking corner despite his lack of size. Unfortunately, Redmond tore his ACL in October and will likely fall in the draft but could be a positive for the Rams should they take him as he is a first round talent.
Tyler Boyd, WR (Pittsburgh): As a mentioned before, the quarterback struggles are well documented. To be fair though, who do they have to throw to? Tavon Austin has been more involved and Kenny Britt is having a solid (enough) year but there is no true, prototypical number one receiver. Boyd has the ability to change that as he is the ACC’s only player to ever record 1,000 season in both his freshman and sophomore seasons (the same conference that has featured the likes of Calvin Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Sammy Watkins, and Peter Warrick to name a few). His 85 receptions for 873 yards this season helped him become the school’s all-time leader in receptions (248) and yards (3,308) and first and second in the conference respectively.

Pros:
  • Size (6’2, 200 pounds)
  • Big play ability
  • Consistency (3+ catches for 38+ yards in every game including five with 10+ for 89+)
  • Posted 10 catches for 131 yards and a touchdown against Iowa’s Desmond King, the Thorpe Award Winner
  • Great YAC earner
  • Refined route running; ran full route tree out of multiple sets
  • Soft, consistent hands; solid hand-eye coordination
  • Long strider who can hit the next gear
  • Uses his body well to box out and out-jump defenders
  • Averaged 7.7 receptions and 79.4 yards despite being the sole focal point of defensive schemes
  • Sound footwork and ability to sell fakes
  • Knows when to extend for passes or haul them in close to his body
  • Exceptional athlete; 10th in the nation in kick return average (27.6 yards) and first in the ACC in punt return average (10.1) in 2014
Cons:
  • Not exceptionally fast; won’t take the top off of defenses
  • Rather lean, would like to see him add 10-15 pounds to his frame
  • Lacks great quick-twitch
  • Occasional focus drops
  • Doesn’t possess great strength, will often go down after first tackle attempt
  • Poor off-field decisions (DUI arrest during the summer of 2014)
Despite his off-field issue, Boyd embodies the receiver who dominates a game as the absence of running back James Conner left Boyd as the only offensive player defenses keyed on and schemed around. His cons can be refined in the next few months as he is a player who could have a major impact on any team.
Bryce Williams, TE (East Carolina)
The Rams simply need more targets to throw to, and neither Jared Cook or Lance Kendricks have been good at doing just that as Cook has dropped four of 64 targets (6.4% of targets) and Kendricks has dropped three of 30 (10%), which is even worse as he’s seen fewer targets; both drop percentages are among the highest of all tight ends. Williams is a big bodied (6’6, 258 pounds), sure handed tight end who was a First Team All-AAC choice this season.

Pros:
  • 41 of his 96 career catches went for 10 or more yards
  • Great numbers (58 receptions for 588 yards and four touchdowns)
  • YAC earner
  • Smooth route runner who can find open windows
  • Faster and stronger than most linebackers
  • Great size/speed combination
  • Tremendous catch radius
  • Moves and catches passes like a receiver
  • Strong hands
  • Good awareness and vision
  • Moves very well in open space
  • Is a solid 258, very little body fat
  • Had multiple catches in each game, 5+ seven times highlighting his consistency
  • Showed tremendous signs of progress from freshman to senior season
Cons:
  • Is more of a receiver than blocker
  • A little too lean; 5-7 extra pounds would make a true threat
  • Lacks power for someone his size
  • Questionable functional strength
  • I wonder if he would put the same numbers in a Power 5 conference
Williams is an intriguing prospect that will likely be available in the third round. His versatility allows him to line up split-out, as an H-Back, or a three point stance; he will need to refine his run blocking ability but should still be better than both Cook and Kendricks in that department as well.
Jack Allen, C (Michigan State): Tim Barnes has been a disappointment all season, ranking 30th among all centers overall with some of the NFL’s worst run and pass blocking grades (all via Pro Football Focus). Barnes, 27, will be a free agent this season and is not worth resigning at this point as he has been nothing but an average (at best) player his entire career. Barrett Jones was cut and Barnes’ backup Demetrius Rhaney is completely unproven. Allen has made 46 career starts (41 at center), allowing a mind-boggling three sacks in 47 career games. The Rimington Trophy Finalist has been invited to the Senior Bowl and is a two-time All-Big Ten First Team selection.

 Pros:
  • Extremely high football I.Q.; can recognize and pick up blitz
  • Toughness and durability is highlighted by his 46 career starts
  • Unparalleled level of consistency
  • Functional strength and anchor
  • Uses size and strength to engage blockers and generate drive
  • Solid technique
Cons:
  • Lacks physical tools
  • Will struggle against bigger and stronger defensive tackles
  • Often too aggressive and will fall off blocks; not a great bender
  • Balance
  • Can be dominated at point of attack and will need to improve his pad level
Allen is quite a project with tools that need to be developed or refined but has quality experience against some of college football’s toughest and most talented fronts. His level of consistency and durability makes him an intriguing prospect with a high ceiling.

Top 5 MVP Candidates

(Written on 12/21/15)
As the season’s end draws near, it’s time to take a look at the NFL’s top five MVP candidates.
5. Your choice of defensive player (Defensive MVP):
We have seen numerous individual defensive performances worthy of MVP candidacy this season, and each are deserving of this award. Winning the MVP, to me, means the defense is not nearly as efficient or simply good without them. J.J. Watt is second in the NFL with 13.5 sacks while defending five passes and forcing a fumble. The most impressive part? He’s been double and triple teamed at a much higher rate than last season as he continues to be one of the premier defenders. Defensive tackle Aaron Donald has built on his impressive rookie season, and has even challenged Watt as the NFL’s most dominant force. His 12.1 pass rushing productivity is second-best among defensive tackles and 3-4 defensive ends while his run stop percentage of 11.1 percent is fourth-best among defensive tackles; he also has 11 sacks, 20 hits, and 32 hurries on his 414 pass rushes. Corner back Josh Norman has made a strong case this season due to his improved play as a boundary corner and the Panthers’ defensive schemes that allow him flexibility. His statistics are simple: he has held Mike Evans, T.Y. Hilton, DeAndre Hopkins, Dez Bryant, and Julio Jones to a COMBINED nine receptions for 89 yards; Norman has also intercepted four passes. Guys like Khalil Mack and Luke Kuechly have made compelling cases as well. Tyrann Mathieu’s 89 tackles and five interceptions make him an interesting candidate as well.
4. Antonio Brown, WR (Pittsburgh Steelers):
While a quarterback will likely win this award, Brown deserves serious recognition as he is undoubtedly the NFL’s best wide receiver.  He has the third most targets (167) and is second in the NFL with 116 receptions, catching 69.4% of his targets with only two drops, while his 1,586 yards and 113.3 yards per game lead the NFL; Brown is also second in the NFL with 21 catches of 20+ yards and third in yards after the catch. He has found the end zone nine times and has returned a punt for a touchdown, but consider the fact that Brown has done all of this with three different quarterbacks this season. He has eight games with 100+ yards and four with 10+ catches; he is also coming off a 16-189-2 performance against one of the NFL’s elite corners in Chris Harris Jr. He has been a game changer his entire career, and with a healthy Ben Roethlisberger the entire season, he could be within reach of historic numbers.
3. Carson Palmer, QB (Arizona Cardinals)
Palmer has spearheaded an offense that shows absolutely no signs of slowing down. He is second in the NFL in passer rating (106.7) and third in passing yards (4,277) and touchdowns (32), leading the Cardinals to a 12-2 record and an NFC West clinching victory. He is Pro Football Focus’ second highest-rated quarterback, only .3 points behind Roethlisberger and has gotten better as the season’s progressed. He was exceptional in the month of November, throwing for 1,325 yards and 11 touchdowns against only four interceptions with a 101.6 passer rating; in his three games in December, he has thrown for 940 yards and five touchdowns with a 109.6 passer rating without tossing a single interception. Palmer has also been better on the road having thrown for 2,405 yards and 18 touchdowns and a 63.9 completion percentage, only one percent lower than his percentage at home, while throwing only one more interception (five) and taken one more sack (12) with 75 more attempts.
2. Cam Newton, QB (Carolina Panthers)
In reality, Palmer and Newton could be 2a and 2b due to their level of play. While Palmer has arguably the second best receiving trio in the league, Newton has been backed by the field position and their ability to get him on the field as many times as possible. Regardless, Newton is 14-0 and has scored 40 touchdowns this season, 33 through the air (second in the NFL) and seven on the ground (sixth in the NFL). Remember when Kelvin Benjamin was lost for the season during training due to his ACL, and we all wondered how the passing game would survive? That ship has sailed as Newton has thrown for 3,402 yards against 10 interceptions, a career low if the season ended today. Yesterday, Newton became the first player in NFL history to throw for five touchdowns and run for 100 yards in the same game as Newton has now run for 580 yards this season. While he makes a strong case to be the winner, Newton struggled in September and October throwing for a combined 1,275 yards and nine touchdowns with nearly as many interceptions (seven) with a 55.8 completion percentage; in his first eight games, he threw for 1,820 yards and 14 touchdowns versus nine interceptions with a lowly completion percentage (53.7) and passer rating (81.3). He was good on the ground, rushing for 343 yards and five touchdowns with a 4.7 yard per carry average. Newton found his groove in the second half of the season, throwing for 2,127 yards and 24 touchdowns while only throwing three interceptions in 258 attempts (60.8 completion percentage). In his last six games, Newton has thrown for 1,582 yards and 19 touchdowns while tossing one interception with a 65.3 completion percentage and 121.3 passer rating. The Panthers have scored almost as many points in their last six games (221) than they did in their first eight (228).
1. Tom Brady, QB (New England Patriots):
While the Panthers’ defensive success will be argued when Newton’s candidacy is mentioned, it shouldn’t hinder his chances due to his unbelievable level of play. Unlike Newton, however, Brady’s entire receiving corp has been depleted at time and he has played an elite level the entire season, as opposed to one half without an equally strong defense. He is Pro Football Focus’ third highest rated quarterback while leading the league in passing yards (4,405) and touchdowns (35) while his 103.8 passer rating ranks fourth. He has thrown 40+ six times, including games with 54, 56, and 59, while 27 attempts are the least the entire season as their lack of a consistent running game has put the offensive workload on Brady has his 572 attempts are second in the league, five behind Phillip Rivers while completing 64.3 percent of his passes. He has thrown only six interceptions, the third most among those with triple digit attempts. Brady continued his success in the Patriots’ two losses, throwing for 592 yards and six touchdowns against two interceptions. The Patriots are third in the league in yards and points scored while 14 different Patriots have recorded a reception. New England’s top four receivers, Rob Gronkowski, Danny Amendola, Julian Edelman, and Brandon LaFell, have missed a combined 12 games while running back Dion Lewis was lost for the season after seven games. It’s unbelievable to think what Brady and the Pats (12-2) could do if those guys were healthier.

2016 Pro Bowl by the Numbers

(Written on 12/22/15)
0– Number of players from the Bears, Chargers, Colts, Jaguars, Saints, and Titans who made the Pro Bowl
2– Number of players from the entire AFC South (J.J. Watt and Deandre Hopkins of the Texans), the least amount of selections in a division in history
3– Number of Oakland Raiders players, the most since 2011; Todd Gurley became only the third rookie running back since 2000 to make the Pro Bowl
4– This is the fourth straight season that the Kansas City Chiefs have had four or more Pro Bowl selection; number of divisions that had at least one Pro Bowl selection from all four teams
7– Number of Patriots who were selected, their most since 2011 when they had eight
8– Number of teams with four or more Pro Bowl selections
9– Number of Pro Bowls for Charles Woodson, fourth among all active players and fifth all-time
10– Number of Carolina Panthers selected, the most in the NFL and the second straight season an NFC team had as many
11– Number of Pro Bowls for Tom Brady, second among all active players (three behind Peyton Manning) and third all-time
12– Number of position groups with at least one Pro Bowler making his first appearance
17– The difference in Pro Bowlers for the San Francisco 49ers in 2013 and 2014 (19) and 2015 (2); number of first rounders from the 2007 draft class that have made the Pro Bowl, tied for first all-time
22– Number of non-rookies making their first Pro Bowl appearance
35– Number of rookies who have made the Pro Bowl since 2000 (three this season)
38– Number of AFC players chosen
48– Number of NFC players chosen

Rams-Seahawks Week 16 Recap

(Written on 12/27/15)

The 6-8 St. Louis Rams traveled to Seattle to take on the 9-5 Seahawks today in a game that the Seahawks were favored by 14 points. The first half was dominated by the Rams as they jumped out to a 16-3 lead that featured Trumaine Johnson’s seventh interception this season, including his fourth consecutive game with a pick, as his 15 career interceptions lead all defenders in the 2012 draft class. Offensively, receiver Kenny Britt ran right past Seahawks corner Richard Sherman for a 28 yard touchdown on a beautifully thrown ball by quarterback Case Keenum on a drive that was set up by a 21 yard Tavon Austin punt return. The defense got on the board as well as Akeem Ayers scooped up a fumble and returned it 45 yards for a touchdown. Kicker Greg Zurlein celebrated his 28th birthday by making a 42 yard field goal before missing an extra point later in the second quarter.

Running back Todd Gurley got going in the second half as 63 of his 85 yards, and a touchdown, came in that span. While the Rams gave up 14 points, they spent the second half without Mark Barron and Nick Fairley as both left the game with concussions; Johnson also left with a concussion but returned later and seems to be 100% for next week. The Seahawks were still no match for the Rams, falling 23-17.

The most important aspect of today’s the game is the fact that the Rams did not commit any turnovers, despite the fact that Benny Cunningham and Gurley fumbles were recovered by center Tim Barnes who later received the game ball following the game. Keenum was particularity efficient, completing 14-23 passes for 103 yards without throwing an interceptions against Seattle’s vaunted secondary. Keeunm was also not sacked nor hit today, a huge milestone for a young offensive line that has struggled keeping passers upright this season. Offensive coordinator Rob Boras has finally built the offensive gameplan around establishing the running game first and early (the Rams ran the ball 30 times today) with Gurley as the workhorse (19 carries). Boras has not asked Keenum to do too much which has allowed them to set up shots down the field as we saw last week against the Bucs as well with Britt, while still being efficient and smart with the football.

The Rams travel to San Francisco next week to take on the 4-11 49ers in the season finale, a team that St. Louis had no trouble with in Week 8, winning 27-6. The Niners have not looked very good, going 1-5 in their last six games including losses to the Lions and Browns whom the Rams both beat. After beating the Seahawks in Seattle and completing the season sweep for the first time since 2004, the Rams are riding a three game win streak carrying enough momentum to win on the road to get to 8-8.

Rams vs. Bucs a Look to the Future

(Written on 12/16/15)

The St. Louis Rams have looked uneventful and uninspired this season but don’t tell them that. Following a thrilling 21-14 victory over the Detroit Lions this past Sunday, they enter Thursday’s Prime Time match-up against the 6-7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers with some momentum. Rookie running back Todd Gurley found his stride again, carrying the ball 16 times for 140 yards and a touchdown; four of their wins have come when his carries reach double defense. Despite a depleted defense, the Rams held an offense with plenty of firepower to a lowly 14 points, their third lowest offensive outing this season. Receiver Calvin Johnson was held to one reception.

While the Rams scored a huge victory, being featured on Thursday Night Football’s Color Rush is exposure they, and the Bucs, deserve. Tamps Bay is coming off a disastrous 2-14 record in 2014 and was at the forefront of the most discussed and debated NFL Draft’s. Florida State quarterback Jamies Winston was regarded as an unbelievable, can’t-miss prospect that seems to be living up to the bill as he has guided them to a 6-7 season. The Buccaneers have built a strong defense but their offense is a collection of pass catchers in receivers Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson and tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins and running back Doug Martin who is proving that his 2012 campaign was no fluke as 2013 and 2014 were decimated by injuries.

On paper, this isn’t much of an intriguing Prime Time game; 5-8 vs. 6-7 isn’t’ exactly compelling football. It is, however, a match-up of two young, talented teams as the Rams rank first (24.94 years per player) and the Bucs rank 11th (25.91) in youngest roster. The Rams Opening Day offensive line featured three rookies while Gurley and Winston are showing signs that they could be the best at their respective positions in the next years, and beyond. Evans and ASJ is only in their second seasons and Martin still has four years before he hits the magical age of 30, the seemingly inevitable decline of running backs. While the uniforms are disappointing and completely unappealing, sit back and admire the young talent on the field this Thursday.

4-8 Not the Only Similarities Between Lions and Rams

(Written on 12/11/15)
In what is arguably the most headline-less NFL match-up in Week 14, the St Louis Rams will host the Detroit Lions as each try to improve to 5-8. While the Lions have been dominant through the air, the Rams have gotten it down on the ground as both rank ninth in the NFL in their respective statistical categories. The same can be said for their lack of dominance in the other offensive aspects as Detroit ranks 31st in rushing yards per game and St. Louis is last in passing yards per game. Both franchises are on their second offensive coordinator this season, proving to be a wise decision for Detroit highlighted by the 31 more points they’ve scored in the five games since Joe Lombardi’s firing, than the first five games of the season. While Lions rookie running back Ameer Abdullah isn’t the same talent that fellow rookie running back Todd Gurley of the Rams is, both have bright future ahead and have had quite an impact on their respective offensives; to put the icing on the cake, Rams defensive tackle Nick Fairley spent the first four seasons of his career with the Lions. The similarities run much deeper, however.
Ohio is the birthplace of both franchises as the Portsmouth Spartans began operations in 1929 while the Cleveland Rams were up and running 234 miles south seven years later. In 1934, a group led by Detroit radio executive George Richards bought the Spartans, struggling financially, for$7,952.08 and moved them to Detroit and renamed them the Lions as an ode to their professional baseball team, the Detroit Tigers. Both franchises moved to the National Football League just one year after existence, the Lions in 1930 and the Rams in 1937.
The 50s were high points for the franchises as the Rams won an NFL Championship in 1951 and played in four between 1949-1955 while the Lions defeated the Cleveland Browns in the NFL Championship the very next year. The Browns would continue their tear of NFL Championships, defeating the Lions in ’53 and ’54 before defeating who else in ’55? The Los Angeles Rams. Both teams were quarterbacked by Hall of Famers Bobby Layne (Lions) and Norm Van Brocklin and Bob Waterfield (Rams) while Tobin Rote became a star quarterback for the Lions following the 1957 playoffs after the Lions traded Layne, thus ensuing “The Curse of Bobby Layne” in 1958: the Lions have won one playoff games (1991) since the trade.
Fast forward to the 80s as both teams were lead by phenomenal running backs Billy Sims (Lions, drafted in 1980) and Eric Dickerson (Rams, drafted in 1983) as both franchises experienced success. The Lions made the playoffs in 1982 and 1983, their first consecutive playoff appearances since 1953-1954. In seek of change after a disappointing stretch from 1979-1982, the Rams hired USC great John Robinson in 1983 who, coupled with Dickerson, made the playoffs six straight times including an NFC Championship game appearance in 1985. The previous year was a completely different season on both sides of the spectrum for the fellow running back: while Dickerson ran for an NFL record 2,105 yards, Sims suffered a career ending injury that lead a period of futility for the Lions from 1984-1988.
Change abounded for both teams during the 90s with the emergence of running back Barry Sanders. One of the greatest players of all-time, Sanders was the driving force behind the Lions’ playoff appearances in 1991, 1993-1995, 1997, and 1999; Lions guard Mike Utley also suffered a career ending injury against the Los Angeles Rams during the 1991 season. No matter Sanders’ talents, the Lions only advanced past the first round of the playoffs once. After moving to St. Louis in 1995, the Rams assembled the Greatest Show on Turf lead by quarterback Kurt Warner and a player of Sanders’ talents in running back Marshall Faulk that propelled them to a Super Bowl victory in 1999. The Rams would ride that wave until 2005, when things began to fall apart.
The 21st century is marked by poor ownership, coaching, and draft classes. While both franchises experienced success early on (the Lions made the playoffs in 2000-2001 without Sanders and the Rams made another Super Bowl appearance in 2001), the Lions didn’t win a single game on the road from 2001-2003, an NFL record 24 straight games that was a result of Matt Millen’s 31-81 record as team president. 2007 was an unfortunate turn of events as Detroit started 6-2 before fading and finishing 7-9 and St. Louis went 3-13 in their first year under Scott Linehan after going 8-8 the year before under Mike Martz. The next year was even worse for Detroit as they became the first NFL team to ever finish 0-16; not surprisingly, the Rams weren’t much better as they finished 2-14 and fired Linehan after an 0-4 start before promoting defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo. Despite finding their franchise quarterback in Matt Stafford the 2009 Draft, the Lions finished with the second worst record in the NFL at 2-14. The Rams were the only worse team at 1-15 as they took Sam Bradford with the first overall pick the next year, but did not become the franchise quarterback Stafford has materialized into. Both have averaged five wins a season since 2000 which is attributed to those poor drafts I mentioned early as an awful stretch occured for the Lions bewteen 2001-2005 that featured Jeff Backus, Joey Harrington, Charles Rodgers, and Mike Williams. St. Louis was equally awful from 2002-2009, featuring Robert Thomas, Tye Hill, Jason Smith, and Adam Carriker.
Records and stats out the window, this should be an interesting game showcasing young talent for years to come.